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Saturday, May 22, 2010
Technical vs FundamentalOn the ChartSmith Trader's Blog we have included fundamental news and information on various commodities, however, when
it comes to actual trading decisions our decisions are primarily based on technical chart data.
Here's
some thoughts on technical vs fundamental...
Charts give us the up-to-the-day information needed
for making actual trading decisions. Each day's trading range has incapsulated the opinion and emotion of the world's
trading clientel--taking into consideration supply & demand issues and concerns, the vote has been cast and the open-high-low-and
close tell the story without human emotion. The prices represented on the chart are what they are, plain and simple, and based
on specific factors as described in ChartSmith-Forging Your Financial Future, we can create trading plans that place the odds
of success greatly in our favor while simultaneously reducing risk. That's the way we like it.
As for fundamental
information, many of you have heard me call it "funny-mentals". The credit for that term goes to Mr. Ed Seykota
of South Lake Tahoe. Funnymentals is a great description because this type of market information includes mostly ambitious
opinions and emotionally driven sensationalized thoughts and ideas with sprinkles of factual data. Obviously this makes for
a tough combination when trying to make sound trading decisions, not to mention attempting to stay committed to one's
decisions. Like the legendary trader, Ted Warren, said in his book, How to Make the Stock Market Make Money for You, "...the
trader (speculator) begins to run at the sight of his own shadow..."
Funnymentals are a part of the investing
marketplace that Shawna and I find interesting and fun. This is why we love to include tidbits of recent news items along
the way, keeping in mind that the fundamentals are more for entertainment than anything else.
Technical vs fundamental;
now you know that we likem' both, but for two distinctly different reasons.
To your ongoing success (and fun!),
Scott
7:33 am est
Monday, April 12, 2010
Here's an email update we recently received from Zane Anderson Ministries. I believe Pastor Zane is hitting on a subject
that touches every household in America- that being the way we view DEBT and the way DEBT is controlling us...I firmly believe
that if Americans were to embrace financial principles on a biblically based level a lot of families would begin to see
rays of hope streaming back into their lives. And for all of us that trade commodity futures this holds immense value too-
so please read on! Scott
Debt is NOT a way of Life!
The rich rule over the poor, and
the borrower is servant to the lender. Proverbs 22:7 NASB
Our generation has been seduced by a spirit of
mammon that manipulates our attitudes and beliefs about money. Debt is not a way of life. Our culture says whatever it is
that you want, you've got to have it now! Credit card companies won't tell you that you could have ten of those things
you bought for the price you paid on credit for one. If you have a credit card with a $10,000 balance, which happens be what
the average American has these days, and you're paying the minimum, in most cases you'll never get it paid off. For
one reason, what you pay off, you add back on to the card.
I know people who put a second mortgage on their home
so they can have a nice vacation or a new car. It's time to break the mindset that comes with an inability for delayed
gratification.
Proverbs 22:7 says if you owe, then your debtor owns you. You become a slave to your debt. We need
to learn to restrain ourselves financially. We're so busy keeping up with the Joneses that we don't realize that the
Joneses don't even like us. So what does it matter what they think anyway? If we don't have the money in the bank,
don't spend it! It's really that simple.
If you have debt and want out, ask God to help you control your
spending. Get some wisdom from an organization like Dave Ramsey's Financial Peace. Take steps to day to have a financial
future.
(c)2010 Zane Anderson Ministries. This devotional was taken from an excerpt of "Got to have
a plan, man" February 28, 2010. To purchase this sermon contact us at media@vwcaz.org. You can listen to this sermon
here. All rights reserved.
11:17 pm est
Sunday, March 28, 2010
ChartSmith Trader's BLOG- New in 2010!
9:43 am est
Monday, January 18, 2010
A few thoughts for the "kickoff" to 2010To view this blog entry with photos and comment form click here: http://www.mychartsmith.com/id85.htmlRecently we have had some time to nestle in with the family and watch some
great NFL football games. With the playoffs coming to an end and the Super Bowl fast approaching there has been some
fun conversations in our home revolving around the exciting game of football. All of this activity
has gotten me pondering some of the lessons I can remember from my football days while at Yosemite Union High School in the
quaint little mountain town of Oakhurst, CA. While playing ball at Yosemite High these lessons seemed only to apply
to the game we were playing at the time but for me and my fellow teammates the wisdom our coach was imparting to us on
the field was important "life lessons" that could be carried throughout our lives on and off
the field. Many of these lessons on the field have influenced the way I approach commodity futures trading as well. Here's a few thoughts I gleaned from our team's head coach, Steve Raupp, that hopefully
will get all of us well on our way to a positive and confident start as we begin to "kick-off" this
amazing year before us. Practice to win- don't just go through the motions, think
of every practice as "the real deal". This is the time to be in the present moment, totally focused on perfecting
the skills that will ultimately bring us the result we're looking to achieve as a team on game day. (Analogous of paper
trading the commodity chart formations?) Conditioning- Coach Raupp said, "our opponents
may be larger than us or possess more skill than us but one thing is for sure; they will not be able to match our physical
agililty!" We trained harder and pushed each other to be as conditioned as any team could be, believing that
anything we lacked could eventually be overcome by massive effort. Take Ownership-
the message we were receiving from our coach and the coaching staff was that we had to take ownership of every action, every
play on the field, including the bad ones. As individual members of a unitized team we had to mentally take ownership
of that field before we ever stepped onto it for the Friday night game. This mindset took away our tendencies to make
excuses or place blame because we understood that whatever our team's objective, it was ultimately our responsibility
to see it through. Rookies Never Last- when called a rooky there's a couple of things
a player can do. He can fold under the pressure and allow the humiliation to tear him down emotionally, eventually to
be seen leaving the game or the rooky can gather his intestinal fortitude, determination,
and willpower to learn what needs to be learned and drive himself forward, never to be thought of as a rooky again. Sell Out- I can still here Coach Raupp saying, "If you're out here on the field trying
to survive then you can pack it in to the locker room and hang up your gear! I need every one of you to give your team
what it deserves, I need you to sell out!" This was a call to both emotional & physical action, to
"leave-it-all-on-the-field". There was no talk allowed by the coaching staff that had even a hint of half
hearted, willy-nilly, maybe-we'll-just-get-by attitude in it. It was all or nothing and "sell out" became
a core belief amongst the team. Review- monday afternoon practices often began in
a classroom with the team and coaching staff reviewing Friday night's game on film. This wasn't loafing
time, it was serious review of the plays we had executed effectively. This also included a hard look at what we had
done wrong, and what could be done to take corrective action when we were back on the field. Reviewing film was a time
for self assessment and honesty from each of us, a time when we had to swallow pride in order to recognize what had to be
fully learned from the experience. That's what made the experience on the field valuable--because we were determined
to learn from it! This is but a small number of examples I've learned from Coach Raupp and the game of football
but I think that is one of the reasons I enjoy watching an occasional game because there is so many analogies that can be
drawn from the activity on the field to that of my daily life. From commitment to family to persistence
at work to building our dreams with passion and maintaining the patience to recognize that it's all a process...caring,
sharing, loving, and the business of overall living requires the development of attributes that correlate in many
ways to those we see in the players on the 100 yard playing field. Some people say it's just a game,
but really, isn't that what life is in a way, a game? I like to think of life as the greatest game of all offering
each of us opportunities to learn and grow, if we'll only take the time to see them. I hope you will
consider and create life enhancing analogies from the positive experiences in your own life and "kick-off" 2010
with renewed resolve and enthusiasm for your bright future! Our best to you, Scott *During my
senior year Coach Raupp and his assistant coaching staff lead our team to victory as we became the North Sequoia Division
champions for the first time in our school's history. The year was 1985.
6:38 pm est
Friday, December 25, 2009
Merry Christmas! Merry Christmas to you and yours! May the Joy of the Season be with
you and the one's you love now and in the New Year to come.
Scott & Shawna
4:10 pm est
Tuesday, December 15, 2009
Don't let your optimism destroy you...I want to share a letter with you written from our friend, Leslie Householder. Leslie is helping people literally
raise themselves up and completely change the direction of their lives. Take a moment to check this out!
Dear
friend,
Families across the world are scaling back on unnecessary purchases and focusing on things that
matter most, like:
Family, faith, hope...
If the economy has necessitated
this change, then even a bad economy is something to be grateful for.
The world is full of
illusions. We're all being tested right now to see if we will seek and cling to truth and make choices
that lead us to greater personal freedom, or whether we will let the 'evidence' of disaster overwhelm
us and lead us to discouragement and ultimately an even tighter feeling of bondage.
So, with
that in mind, how goes YOUR battle?
Everyone goes through periods of discouragement, or there
could be no real victory.
Everyone. Even people you look up to. Even people who are doing well
right now.
Discouragement is simply a natural part of the package called LIFE.
But what separates those who conquer the battle from those who are crushed under the weight of it, is just one
thing.
The only thing that separates the victor from the vanquished is his or her thoughts in the heat of the
battle.
It's easy to think optimistically when things are going well. It's
when things are TOUGH beyond belief that the real winners emerge. How do they do it? What
do they know that perhaps you don't know?
Keep reading...
The hardest part is thinking
optimistically when things are NOT going well. A person might try, but if there isn't enough knowledge
and understanding to support that optimism, the optimism is fake at best, and can even become destructive at worst.
Don't let your optimism destroy you.
You can't just hope and
pray that everything will work out. You can't just affirm it superficially. You need to have the knowledge
that gives you REASON to know that everything is going to turn out okay for you.
There
is a way to know for sure, and it isn't just from making a decision that you'll make it so.
The
good news is that in hard times like these, for some, the greatest personal victories of all time will be won.
No victory will ever be so great as the ones that come out of the most disastrous of conditions.
So if you have it REALLY bad right now, you are among the most fortunate - IF - you make your daily decisions
based on...More
10:15 pm est
Sunday, December 13, 2009
Tis' the season to be with those you love...Dear friends and fellow traders, Over the past weeks and months Shawna and I have enjoyed hearing of
your enthusiasm for commodity futures trading. We are pleased to see you learning about this wonderful and interesting
world of investing and it brings us great joy to share these fantastic market opportunities with you through the weekly updates.
As we progress through the remainder of December and begin making our way into the New Year the ChartSmith Weekly Market Update will be postponed. For the next few weeks it is our goal to spend a little more time with family and friends and a
little less time on the computer. As you know, the commodity markets are one of the central focal points
and passions of our life so you may hear from us a time or two through the Christmas season when you least expect it.
Look for an occasional "quick" update along the way--we'll still be here with you keeping an eye on the markets
and I'll send out a notice when relevant market activity occurs. For now we just want you to know how
important you are to us, as friends and fellow traders, and even more so as people that have an adventurous spirit for learning.
Keep reviewing your charts each day, paper trade the markets that are of interest to you, and enjoy this beautiful Christmas
season!!! Happy Trading and Merry Christmas!
Yours, Scott Jones
9:48 pm est
Sunday, December 6, 2009
Kiyosaki Kwote :) We've enjoyed Robert Kiyosaki's books over the years. Here's a tidbit of Robert's
financial wisdom; The rich build assets that they use to purchase other assets. The poor only have expenses.
– Robert Kiyosaki
11:27 pm est
Gold RSI tradeFor those of you already onboard this trade as of Wednesday or Thursday of this week,
from our review of Options History on U.S. Chart Co. it looks like you are already in profits of $1,000 to $2,000 per put option depending on the strike price you selected.
Congratulations and just as a reminder, this market has the potential to get even more volatile than it already has been so
be sure to have a profit objective in mind and stick to your plan! Happy trading, Scott
11:11 pm est
Thursday, November 19, 2009
Quote to Consider The road to success is not to be run upon by seven-leagued boots. Step by step, little by little,
bit by bit—that is the way to wealth, that is the way to wisdom, that is the way to glory. ~Sir
Thomas Fowell Buxton
11:45 pm est
Sunday, November 15, 2009
Trader Vic... When a market is at historical highs or lows, but there is no sign of a change of trend, my advice is to leave it
alone and wait for signs of a change of trend. Trade with the trend and be patient.
~Victor Sperandeo, Methods of a Wall Street Master
2:16 am est
More to All, Less to None. ~Wallace D. Wattles, The Science of Getting Rich In last week's newsletter I mentioned how we would like to reach out and let others know
that there is a way to create additional cash flow without spending an inordinate amount of time beyond what they already
spend at their normal job or business making a living. Here's the results of what happened the past few days with
our publisher: Holiday Season Special: ChartSmith-Forging Your Financial Future now 25% off...As
mentioned last week, we have been working with our publisher on a new pricing arrangement and we're excited to share this
great news with you now! Giving the Gift of Futures Education to friends and loved ones just got easier,
ChartSmith-Forging Your Financial Future is now available at only $29.95!
Want a copy of the book for FREE? We're not urging anyone
to run out and sign up for a credit card but we do want to give you additional options when possible. Amazon
is offering, for a limited time, a $30 credit on your purchase when you enroll (1-minute process) in
the Amazon.com Rewards Visa card from Chase. If interested you can view details of this program during the
checkout process on Amazon.com. Simply click on the Amazon.com Rewards Visa option to enroll and receive your $30
purchase credit. Free Enrollment: Whether you're giving a copy
of the book as a gift to a friend or loved one please remember to suggest Free Enrollment in the ChartSmith Weekly Newsletter to them. This companion tool will bring them up-to-speed in today's global commodity
futures markets with greater efficiency and ease!
12:37 am est
Sunday, November 8, 2009
Special News Given the present condition of the economy, and knowing
how important it is for families in today's environment to develop additional streams of income we feel it incumbant
upon us to get the word out to as many folks as possible. We would like to reach out and let them know that there is
a way to create additional cash flow without spending an inordinate amount of time beyond what they already spend at their
normal job or business making a living. This week's unemployment report of more than 10% emphasizes the importance
of this even more.
Here's what we're doing and you can be in
on this as well! The timing is perfect for all of us as we roll into the holiday season to give the gift
of investment education to friends and family. If some of the special people in your life end up creating additional
streams of income from commodity trading because you gifted them with knowledge of this great business they will be grateful
to you forever!
We want this to be available to everyone at a bargain price!
Here's the plan; this week we contacted our book publisher to work out the details of reducing the per unit pricing on
the book, ChartSmith-Forging Your Financial Future, by nearly 25%. This means the book's price on Amazon will be
adjusted down from $39.95 to only $29.95 in the next few days. The new lower price will enable more people to have access
to this life enhancing commodity trading book with little money out of pocket, and that's a real value for everyone interested
in buying a copy for loved ones or for themselves!
This is not available
yet. When this price reduction takes affect we will notify you here on the Trader's Blog. Amazon
is also working on a program that could bring the price of the book down by 50% when two or more books are ordered.
I promise you'll be the first to hear about the details when this arrangement
is completed!
ChartSmith's Weekly Newsletter is a companion tool.
Another way to share this amazing knowledge with others is to let them know about the Weekly Newsletter and the fact that
enrollment is still free. You've told us that the Newsletter is a great companion tool to the book and that's
yet another way of adding value for every reader including the folks that mean so much to you!
Holiday Gifts; ChartSmith-Forging Your Financial Future and the Weekly Newsletter is a winning combo
that will bring a ray of sunshine and a blessing of hope to our friends and family during this winter season. This
empowering financial knowledge puts the media's news of uncertainty and fear in its place- creating a brighter financial
future with a sense of great accomplishment and confidence to those who want it!
You
can expect an update to arrive within the next few days!
Blessings to you and yours, Scott
4:30 am est
Note of Thanks After receiving emails and phone calls from some of you letting us know that you had
bought lumber a week ago prior to the limit up trading sessions we realized just how astute to market
conditions you have become. From your study of looking for and identifying commodities that have submerged into wholesale
levels over the past few months you took the ambitious steps of committing to getting long lumber when the 4-day moving average
line crossed up through the 9 and 18-day lines. You accepted this tool action as adequate
evidence combined with the fact that this soft commodity was trading in multi year lows for you to make your decision.
This was sound and methodical reasoning and best of all it was decision making based on your own assessment
of market conditions! After reviewing the chart on Friday I think it's safe to say that a few of you secured
profits exceeding 200% cash on cash returns. We're pleased to see students receiving excellent profits
based on safe and calculated trade decisions and applaud you for having the gumption to follow through. And
greater still, there is more of this to come. So congratulations and thank you for letting us know!!
3:29 am est
Note of Thanks Note of Thanks: After receiving emails and phone calls from some of you letting us
know that you had bought lumber a week ago prior to the limit up trading sessions we realized just how
astute to market conditions you have become. From your study of looking for and identifying commodities that have submerged
into wholesale levels over the past few months you took the ambitious steps of committing to getting long lumber when the
4-day moving average line crossed up through the 9 and 18-day lines. You accepted this tool action
as adequate evidence combined with the fact that this soft commodity was trading in multi year lows for you to make your
decision.
This was sound and methodical reasoning and best of all it was decision making based on your
own assessment of market conditions! After reviewing the chart on Friday I think it's safe to say that a few of
you secured profits exceeding 200% cash on cash returns. We're pleased to see students receiving excellent
profits based on safe and calculated trade decisions and applaud you for having the gumption to follow through. And
greater still, there is more of this to come. So congratulations and thank you for letting us know!!
2:54 am est
Saturday, October 10, 2009
The Richest People In AmericaAmerica's super rich are getting poorer. For only the fifth time since
1982, the collective net worth of The Forbes 400, our annual tally of the nation's richest people, has declined, falling
$300 billion in the past 12 months from $1.57 trillion to $1.27 trillion.
Faltering capital markets and real estate
prices, along with divorce and fraud, pushed the fortunes of 314 members down and drove 32 plutocrats off the rankings...More
12:37 am est
What is the Key to Success? Learning anything can be accomplished through
perseverance and effort.
If
a person struggles with an investment concept, with practice the concept will become easier.
Through perseverance and effort, struggles become challenges and challenges become energizing because we begin
to understand that intelligence is developed through hard work.
What most call genius
or talent was at first a seed of curiosity that was cultivated over time through tremendous and sustained effort. Remember
the addage, a successful person is born of a little inspiration and a lot of perspiration?
Carol S. Dweck, in Scientific American (Nov. 07) states that "more than three decades
of research shows that a focus on effort - not on intelligence or ability, is the key to success...in life."
To your fabulous future and expanding success! Scott
12:03 am est
Sunday, September 20, 2009
We first read about Linda...We first read about Linda Bradford Rashke's adventures in the markets
a few years ago in Jack D. Schwager's excellent work, THE NEW MARKET WIZARDS, Conversations With America's Top Traders.
One might call her an investing anomoly of sorts; a multiple market player, a lady realizing stellar
success in an arena mostly associated with men - trading with the creative ability to read the markets
as if she were reading sheet music. Seriously, that's how she explains her approach to the markets!
With the exception of one catastrophic event early in her trading career, Rashke made money steadily
for a number of years as a floor trader on two different exchanges. After being injured in an accident in 1986
she was forced to trade from an office. This became a boon to her trading (almost instantly!) as she discovered
that she much preferred off-floor trading. For many years now, Rashke has been a consistently profitable
trader...
Read more about this lady's unique approach to trading in THE NEW MARKET WIZARDS. “I’ve
learned to think to myself, “Patience, patience, patience.” I try to wait until things
set up just right before I take a trade. Then, when I’m ready to take the trade, I slowly count
to ten before I pick up the phone. It’s better to have the wrong idea and good timing than
the right idea and bad timing.”
~Linda Bradford Raschke
To your abundant wealth in every area of your life! Scott
9:27 am est
Thursday, September 17, 2009
Spock's Wisdom The more we share, the more we have.
~Leonard Nimoy, American actor, director and author
11:06 pm est
Thursday, September 10, 2009
Secret Door to SuccessIn her book, The Secret Door to Success, Florence Scovel Shinn wrote;
...imagination is man's workshop, the scissors of the mind,
where he is constantly cutting out the events of his life!
Although I've read her books I often
enjoy re-reading them--if only to revisit the little jems of wisdom she so amazingly shared with people back in the 1920's
and 30's.
Good day to you and yours!!! Scott
9:46 pm est
Monday, August 31, 2009
Thoughts on Wealth & IncomeI recently re-read The Millionaire Next Door. Almost forgot how profound
and "potentially" life changing that book can be...here's a quote from Thomas Stanley that pulls-no-punches;
Most people have it all wrong about wealth in America.
Wealth is not the same as income. If you make a good income each year and spend it all, you are not getting wealthier.
You are just living high. Wealth is what you accumulate, not what you spend.
~ Thomas Stanley, Ph.D., and William Danko, The Millionaire Next Door
To your ever expanding wealth! Scott
7:32 am est
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