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CHARTSMITH
Weekly Market Update
Welcome to the paper trading market update for
the week of July 10th, 2009.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The markets have been alive with activity this
week, from the grains to the foods & softs, to the energies and beyond! What a week it has been and plenty
of marketplace opportunities to look at, so let's get started...
Cotton A long side entry was initiated as Cotton completed its buy signal this week (Thursday)
giving us an entry point on Friday morning at 60.75 cents/lb on the December contract. Cotton closed out the week at
62.45. Keep your stops in place. Profit to date: + $860.00 per contract.
Note: ChartSmith qualifies Cotton
as a market trading in the Low Zone, however, it's important to keep in mind that its present position is near to moving
into Mid Zone territory. Since we received a coordinated buy signal, we have bought in lightly with initial positions
using protective stops under recent support areas (total estimated risk from our entry point to our protective stop is presently
at $1,425.00). Whether paper trading or using real money, exercising caution at this price level is required.
Refer back to Chapter 12 of the ChartSmith-Forging Your Financial Future wealthbook for further risk management details.
To view the daily chart go to: http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/CT/C9 Eurodollar The
Eurodollar closed up again this week at 99.455 basis points. As I mentioned in our last update the higher the
Eurodollar goes the lower our risk becomes for a short side entry. Not to be confused with the RSI Sell High, Buy Low
trade setup, please keep in mind this is a financial futures market that plays out much like a commodity futures market that
has sunk into multi year lows. This is why we are so ecstatic to see this market nearing 100 basis points, and the risk
to 100 from this week's close is $1,362.50/contract!--Keep watching...
Read more about this rare event in our
special report, EURODOLLARS—the Perfect Storm?.
To view the chart go to:
http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/GE/99
Lumber
Closing
down a wopping $7.80/1,000BoardFeet on Friday, Lumber has continued its fall. This keeps getting better as it moves
deeper into Low Zone (wholesale) levels and soon we'll be shouting, "TIMBER!" Keep watching...
To view the chart go to: http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/LU/99
Natural Gas September
09 Henry Hub Natural Gas has retreated further to a closing price for the week of $3.494/mmBtu. This closing price
is below recent support of 3.596 made on April 30th and now its into new contract lows. This is
bearish for Natural Gas and lower levels are possible (past 2003 lows, reaching for 2002 lows?). Stay tuned...
To view the chart go to: http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/NG_/99
Orange Juice Orange Juice prices jumped this week with a closing at 93.60 cents/pound. A slight
pullback will probably give us a coordinated buy signal...keep watching...
To view the chart go to: http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/OJ/99
ChartSmith monitors commodity
futures markets in the Low (wholesale) Zone for the Buy Low—Sell High profit opportunity and the High (retail)
Zone for the Sell High—Buy Low profit opportunity. Complete details for these and other exciting low risk, high profit trade setups are included in, ChartSmith-Forging Your Financial Future.
Market Notes: >>>Rambunctious much?
July is commonly known to be a vacation month for many of the floor traders on the exchanges. As such, this can create
a situation where trading volume dries up and the markets are not as fluid. The result can be an extra dose of volatility
in price action. We're mentioning it here just so you're aware of the market's ability to seem a bit more
rambunctious when planning out your trades.
>>>It's beginning to look a lot like Christmas...Grains
like Corn, Oats, and Wheat have a seasonal tendancy to move down from mid summer until fall harvest. Keep an eye on
Christmas delivery (December contracts) of these commodities to reach into wholesale levels!
Just released! Don't miss this Special Report; Citrus Greening Squeeze, by Shawna Jones
Funny-mental Facts from the Commodity Research Bureau (CRB): July
10th, 2009 USDA 2008-09 Florida estimates for orange juice harvest; 159.6 million, 90 pound boxes (down 7% from 2007-08
harvest of 170.2 million, 90 pound boxes). USDA 2008-09 nationwide orange production down 9.3% Y/Y.
Honey
Orange (Cranberry) Chicken
4-6 boneless, skinless chicken breasts 1/2 cup honey 2 cups orange
juice, or as needed 1 large unpeeled orange, sliced 3/4 cup dried cranberries (optional)
Pre-heat oven
at 350 degrees F.
Place chicken breast single layer in lightly greased rectangular glass baking dish (dish should
accomodate all chicken easily without much space between). Pour orange juice over chicken until juice reaches half way
up side of meat. Drizzle meat with honey. Top each breast with a slice of orange. Sprinkle with dried cranberries.
Bake uncovered for 30-45 minutes, (or until done all the way through), serve and enjoy!
Quote of the
Week
You cannot help men permanently by doing for
them what they could do and should do for themselves. ~Abraham Lincoln
Thanks for joining us for this week's paper trading market update. As always, we appreciate hearing
your thoughts and ideas, and your trading successes and learnings. Please feel free to email us anytime at scott@mychartsmith.com.
Enjoy your weekend!
Scott and the ChartSmith Team

Please read our IMPORTANT NOTICE: Futures
and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing
to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose.
Nothing in our commodity futures workshops, website, or newsletter shall be deemed a solicitation or an offer to Buy/Sell
futures and/or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar
to those discussed during the workshops or on our site. Also, the past performance of any trading methodology is not necessarily
indicative of future results.
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