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    CHARTSMITH Weekly Market Update    

Welcome to the paper trading market update for the week of July 10th, 2009. 

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The markets have been alive with activity this week, from the grains to the foods & softs, to the energies and beyond!  What a week it has been and plenty of marketplace opportunities to look at, so let's get started...


 Cotton  
A long side entry was initiated as Cotton completed its buy signal this week (Thursday) giving us an entry point on Friday morning at 60.75 cents/lb on the December contract.  Cotton closed out the week at 62.45.  Keep your stops in place.  Profit to date: + $860.00 per contract.

Note: ChartSmith qualifies Cotton as a market trading in the Low Zone, however, it's important to keep in mind that its present position is near to moving into Mid Zone territory.  Since we received a coordinated buy signal, we have bought in lightly with initial positions using protective stops under recent support areas (total estimated risk from our entry point to our protective stop is presently at $1,425.00).  Whether paper trading or using real money, exercising caution at this price level is required.  Refer back to Chapter 12 of the
ChartSmith-Forging Your Financial Future wealthbook for further risk management details.

To view the daily chart go to: http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/CT/C9


 Eurodollar
The Eurodollar closed up again this week at 99.455 basis points. As I mentioned in our last update the higher the Eurodollar goes the lower our risk becomes for a short side entry.  Not to be confused with the RSI Sell High, Buy Low trade setup, please keep in mind this is a financial futures market that plays out much like a commodity futures market that has sunk into multi year lows.  This is why we are so ecstatic to see this market nearing 100 basis points, and the risk to 100 from this week's close is $1,362.50/contract!--Keep watching...

Read more about this rare event in our special report, EURODOLLARS—the Perfect Storm?.


To view the chart go to: 
http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/GE/99



 Lumber

Closing down a wopping $7.80/1,000BoardFeet on Friday, Lumber has continued its fall.  This keeps getting better as it moves deeper into Low Zone (wholesale) levels and soon we'll be shouting, "TIMBER!"  Keep watching...

To view the chart go to:  http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/LU/99


Natural Gas
September 09 Henry Hub Natural Gas has retreated further to a closing price for the week of  $3.494/mmBtu. This closing price is below recent support of 3.596 made on April 30th and now its into new contract lows.  This is bearish for Natural Gas and lower levels are possible (past 2003 lows, reaching for 2002 lows?). Stay tuned...

To view the chart go to: http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/NG_/99


Orange Juice

Orange Juice prices jumped this week with a closing at 93.60 cents/pound.  A slight pullback will probably give us a coordinated buy signal...keep watching...

To view the chart go to: http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/OJ/99


ChartSmith monitors commodity futures markets in the Low (wholesale) Zone for the Buy Low—Sell High profit opportunity and the High (retail) Zone for the Sell High—Buy Low profit opportunity. Complete details for these and other exciting low risk, high profit trade setups are included in, ChartSmith-Forging Your Financial Future.

Market Notes: 
>>>Rambunctious much?  July is commonly known to be a vacation month for many of the floor traders on the exchanges.  As such, this can create a situation where trading volume dries up and the markets are not as fluid.  The result can be an extra dose of volatility in price action.  We're mentioning it here just so you're aware of the market's ability to seem a bit more rambunctious when planning out your trades. 

>>>It's beginning to look a lot like Christmas
...Grains like Corn, Oats, and Wheat have a seasonal tendancy to move down from mid summer until fall harvest.  Keep an eye on Christmas delivery (December contracts) of these commodities to reach into wholesale levels!






FCOJ-Greening Squeeze - a Special Report by Shawna JonesJust released! Don't miss this Special Report; Citrus Greening Squeeze, by Shawna Jones


Funny-mental Facts from the Commodity Research Bureau (CRB): July 10th, 2009  USDA 2008-09 Florida estimates for orange juice harvest; 159.6 million, 90 pound boxes (down 7% from 2007-08 harvest of 170.2 million, 90 pound boxes).  USDA 2008-09 nationwide orange production down 9.3% Y/Y.

Honey Orange (Cranberry) Chicken

4-6 boneless, skinless chicken breasts
1/2 cup honey
2 cups orange juice, or as needed
1 large unpeeled orange, sliced
3/4 cup dried cranberries (optional)

Pre-heat oven at 350 degrees F.

Place chicken breast single layer in lightly greased rectangular glass baking dish (dish should accomodate all chicken easily without much space between).  Pour orange juice over chicken until juice reaches half way up side of meat.  Drizzle meat with honey.  Top each breast with a slice of orange.  Sprinkle with dried cranberries.  Bake uncovered for 30-45 minutes, (or until done all the way through), serve and enjoy!



 Quote of the Week

You cannot help men permanently by doing for them what they could do and should do for themselves.  ~Abraham Lincoln


Smile


Thanks for joining us for this week's paper trading market update.  As always, we appreciate hearing your thoughts and ideas, and your trading successes and learnings.  Please feel free to email us anytime at
scott@mychartsmith.com.   

Enjoy your weekend!

Scott and the ChartSmith Team


ChartSmith-Forging Your Financial Future


Please read our IMPORTANT NOTICE: Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. Nothing in our commodity futures workshops, website, or newsletter shall be deemed a solicitation or an offer to Buy/Sell futures and/or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed during the workshops or on our site. Also, the past performance of any trading methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.


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